Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 1.649778 1.715635 1.784282 1.861475 1.946233 2.036897 2.141800
2025-11-30 1.576417 1.663325 1.756888 1.865946 1.990695 2.130377 2.300745
2025-12-07 1.494256 1.591044 1.697404 1.824329 1.973608 2.146232 2.365146
2025-12-14 1.444786 1.550469 1.668700 1.812779 1.986593 2.193796 2.466793
2025-12-21 1.399446 1.511229 1.638096 1.795380 1.989216 2.226436 2.549852
2025-12-28 1.378468 1.498466 1.636768 1.811468 2.031936 2.309972 2.704720
2026-01-04 1.364683 1.492923 1.642935 1.835952 2.085428 2.410000 2.891468
2026-01-11 1.337988 1.470477 1.627154 1.831527 2.100511 2.459060 3.010135
2026-01-18 1.317355 1.454297 1.617971 1.834390 2.124485 2.520989 3.153968
2026-01-25 1.283454 1.420639 1.585644 1.805614 2.103783 2.517731 3.194844
2026-02-01 1.260453 1.399584 1.568200 1.795206 2.107126 2.548610 3.293451
2026-02-08 1.237622 1.377979 1.549196 1.781697 2.105036 2.570715 3.379220
2026-02-15 1.216968 1.359116 1.533798 1.773331 2.111086 2.607518 3.499677
2026-02-22 1.204594 1.350131 1.530543 1.780838 2.139737 2.680712 3.697044
2026-03-01 1.174876 1.318405 1.496849 1.745392 2.103828 2.648859 3.689186
2026-03-08 1.157651 1.302128 1.482784 1.736374 2.106283 2.678757 3.807738
2026-03-15 1.138935 1.283472 1.465030 1.721488 2.099055 2.691924 3.893931
2026-03-22 1.133278 1.281364 1.468914 1.736849 2.138050 2.785328 4.169958
2026-03-29 1.130794 1.283195 1.477944 1.759662 2.189597 2.905244 4.539600
2026-04-05 1.118408 1.271796 1.468825 1.755931 2.199062 2.950809 4.740848
2026-04-12 1.109020 1.264074 1.464408 1.758754 2.218965 3.017161 5.017019
2026-04-19 1.089452 1.242580 1.440747 1.732587 2.190547 2.989896 5.022988
2026-04-26 1.076644 1.229777 1.428681 1.723151 2.189099 3.014351 5.189034